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Tuesday, November 28, 2006

Labour continues to pay the price for NHS cutbacks

The public remains deeply sceptical over the government's ability to improve public services and the economy, according to the latest findings from Ipsos Mori's public delivery index. A mere 19 per cent of adults believe the National Health Service is getting better, against 46 per cent who believe it is worsening. Just one person in 100 believes the NHS will get better over the next few years, against 13 who believe it will get much worse. (Which proves the adage that you can fool some of the people some of the time- but eventually people will see through the spin and lies.)

Even on education, the public has become more sceptical. In May last year, at the time of the general election, more people believed services would get better than worse in all areas except the environment.

The public's view of the NHS is, by a tiny margin, not quite as bad as in September, its lowest point since the poll began.

On September 18, 06 Health Direct reported on the previous MORI poll: Tories have best health and education policies, say voters. And continued-

The public has become so disillusioned with the government's ability to deliver improvements in key public services that the Conservatives are now seen as having the best policies for education and health for the first time since Labour won power in 1997, according to polling by Ipsos MORI. The research company's quarterly tracking index, which is eagerly watched by the government, shows the public disagrees by two to one (59 per cent compared with 31 per cent) that Labour's policies will improve the state of public services overall.

Scepticism about the state of the National Health Service is rocketing. Sixteen months ago, just after the general election, far more people believed the NHS would get better over the next few years than believed that it would get worse.

In September, after a battery of headlines about NHS deficits, job cuts, and the potential closures and changes at scores of hospitals, half the country believes the service will get worse over the next few years. A mere one in six, 18 per cent, believes it will get better - in spite of the billions of pounds that are still being poured into health spending.

It is by far the worst finding for labour since the tracking index was launched in 2002.

Most remarkably, despite the fact that the party yet has little formal policy in place, the Conservatives are now seen to have the best policies for health and education by those voters who see such issues as "very important" in how they will vote - the first time that has happened since Labour took power in 1997.

"Labour's standing on public services is not quite in free fall," Sir Robert Worcester, founder of MORI said. "But the public is clearly disenchanted with Labour's ability to improve public services after nine years in office. Its figures are down and continuing to fall."

http://www.healthdirect.co.uk/2006/09/tories-have-best-health-and-education.html

Mori continues today:

"But it comes as, for the first time in polling history, the Conservatives are seen as having better policies for the NHS than Labour," said Ben Page, managing director of Ipsos Mori public affairs.

With the NHS struggling to balance its books and hospitals shedding staff andfacing locally contentious reconfigurations, "that is really disillusionment rather than people being positive about what the Conservatives are offering," he said.

Just one person in 100 believes the NHS will get better over the next few years, against 13 who believe it will get much worse.

The quarterly tracking poll is monitored closely by Downing Street's delivery unit. Government may find some comfort in its finding that Labour supporters still believe by a net margin of47 percentage points that the government will succeed in improving public services.

If the public is highly sceptical over the government's performance on public services, it is not much warmer over the economy. Only39 per cent agree the government's policies will improve the economy in the long run, while 51 per cent disagree.

Ipsos Mori interviewed 980 adults by phone between November 17 and 18.

Today's posting is taken from:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/e62c94a6-7dbb-11db-9fa2-0000779e2340.html

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